Explaining and predicting the ocean conveyor

Generating a new concept of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), its function in the Earth system and how it impacts weather and climate

EPOC is a European AMOC research project. We study the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: how it works, how it has changed, and what its future holds. Institutions across Europe and North America are combining observations, palaeoclimate records, and climate models to resolve long-standing uncertainties about AMOC behaviour and its links to weather, sea level rise, ecosystems, carbon uptake, and climate change.

AMOC research: Spotlight topics

Research vessel deck with mooring equipment, Atlantic Ocean
What is the AMOC?

The AMOC, or Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, is a large-scale circulation pattern in the ocean. It regulates heat and rainfall across Europe and beyond. EPOC is working to understand how climate change will affect it.

NASA MODIS satellite image of snow-covered Great Britain on 7 January 2010, illustrating the climate impacts associated with AMOC weakening on European winter weather
AMOC collapse in the public spotlight

We examine what the latest science says about AMOC collapse risk, separating near-term plausible risks from extreme scenarios that go beyond current evidence, and explaining why accurate communication matters.

A calved iceberg, floating in the ocean
Is the AMOC on course for shutdown?

Is the AMOC approaching a tipping point? EPOC scientists examine the modelling evidence and what it does — and does not — tell us about the risk of an abrupt shutdown.

Sediment core sample used in palaeoclimate reconstruction of past AMOC changes
Reconstructing the past

How do scientists know how the ocean and climate has varied in the distant past when observations only go back 70 years or so? The answer is in the mud at the bottom of the ocean.

Latest EPOC research news

New biogeochemical sensors deployed in the Fram Strait

As part of the annual Fram Strait 2025 cruise conducted by the Norwegian Polar Institute (NPI), the science team from the UK’s National Oceanography Centre deployed a new suite of autonomous Lab-on-Chip (LoC) sensors on long-term moorings in the East Greenland Current.

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EPOC welcomes a new partner to the project

EPOC is delighted to welcome a new partner – Havstovan, the Faroe Marine Research Institute – to the project team. Made possible by a grant from the EU’s ‘Hop-On Facility’, the Havstovan team will contribute time series data on the main exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge, as well as investigation of possibilities to close the largest gap in the existing observational system.

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RV Meteor heads for Flemish Cap

The German research vessel Meteor has set sail from Ponta Delgada in the Azores on its expedition to Flemish Cap and Grand Banks in the NW Atlantic. Here, over a period of 4 weeks, the team on board will make new observations of the dynamic oceanographic conditions in this region.

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EPOC gears up for its summer 2025 expedition season

As many people around Europe start to wind down for the summer holidays, the EPOC science teams are gearing up for the research cruise season. Three expeditions are on the calendar for the July – October period, starting with a month-long mission to the Flemish Cap region of the NW Atlantic, setting sail in late July.

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