Project publications

The following papers have been published as part of EPOC’s research. You can also find project publications (including open access manuscripts) in the EPOC Zenodo archive.
Please direct any queries to info@epoc-eu.org

Bacon, S., A.C. Naveira Garabato, Y. Aksenov, N.J. Brown, and T. Tsubouchi (2022) Arctic Ocean boundary exchanges: A review. Oceanography 35, 94–102.  https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2022.133

Wett, S., Rhein, M., Kieke, D., Mertens, C., & Moritz, M. (2023) Meridional connectivity of a 25-year observational AMOC record at 47°N. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL103284. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103284

Gutjahr O. & Mehlmann C. (2023) Polar lows and their effects on sea ice and the upper ocean in the Iceland, Greenland and Labrador Seas. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169168927.73440410/v1

Petit, T., Robson, J., Ferreira, D., & Jackson, L. C. (2023) Understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic subpolar overturning in different resolution versions of HadGEM3-GC3.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128, e2023JC019672. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019672

Fortin, A., C. O. Dufour, T. M. Merlis, and R. Msadek (2023) Geostrophic and Mesoscale Eddy Contributions to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline under CO2 Increase in the GFDL CM2-O Model Suite. J. Climate, 36, 6481–6498, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0561.1.

Frajka-Williams, E., N. Foukal, G. Danabasoglu (2023) Should AMOC observations continue: how and why?. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci 381 (2262): 20220195. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0195

Robson J.,Sutton R., Menary M.B., Lai M.W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 381 (2262): 20220194. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

McCarthy G.D. & Caesar L. (2023) Can we trust projections of AMOC weakening based on climate models that cannot reproduce the past?. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 381 (2262): 20220193. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0193

Buckley M.W., Lozier M.S., Desbruyères D., Evans D.G (2023) Buoyancy forcing and the subpolar Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 381 (2262): 20220181. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0181

Léon Chafik, N. Penny Holliday, Sheldon Bacon, Jonathan A. Baker, Damien Desbruyères, Eleanor Frajka-Williams, Laura C. Jackson (2023) Observed mechanisms activating the recent subpolar North Atlantic Warming since 2016. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 381 (2262): 20220183. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0183

Loriani, S., Aksenov, Y., Armstrong McKay, D. I., et al. (2025) Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations, Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1611–1653, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1611-2025

Marotzke J. (2023) From theory to RAPID AMOC observations: a personal voyage of discovery. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci, 381 (2262): 20220192. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0192

Wunderling, N., von der Heydt, A. S., Aksenov, Y.,  et al. (2024) Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review. Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 41–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Spaiser, V., Juhola, S., Constantino, S. M. et al. (2024) Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization. Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1179–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024

Dong, B., Aksenov, Y., Colfescu, I. et al. (2025) Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability. Clim Dyn 63, 113. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1

Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Kai-Uwe Eiselt, Peter Good (2024) Testing linearity and comparing linear response models for global surface temperatures. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.170559496.63972629/v1

Zhao, A., Robson, J., Sutton, R. et al. (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Clim Dyn 62, 3355–3374. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

Kim, W. M., Y. Ruprich-Robert, A. Zhao, S. Yeager, and J. Robson (2024) North Atlantic Response to Observed North Atlantic Oscillation Surface Heat Flux in Three Climate Models. J. Climate, 37, 1777–1796, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1.

Wharton, J.H., Renoult, M., Gebbie, G. et al. (2024) Deeper and stronger North Atlantic Gyre during the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature 632, 95–100. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07655-y

Petit, T., Robson, J., Ferreira, D., Yeager, S., & Evans, D. G. (2025) Coherence of the AMOC over the subpolar North Atlantic on interannual to multiannual time scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2025GL115171. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115171

Fox-Kemper, B., DeRepentigny, P., Treguier, A. M., et al. (2025) CMIP7 Data Request: Ocean and Sea Ice Priorities and Opportunities, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3083

Heukamp, F.O., Wekerle, C., Kanzow, T. et al. (2025) Atlantic water recirculation in the northern Barents Sea affects winter sea ice extent. Nat Commun 16, 5148. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59992-9

Baumann, T. M., Skagseth, Ø., Ingvaldsen, R. B., and Mork, K. A. (2025) Reduced Cooling in the Norwegian Atlantic Slope Current: Investigating mechanisms of change from 30 years of observations, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2854

Thierry Virginie, Claustre Hervé, Pasqueron de Fommervault Orens et al. (2025) Advancing ocean monitoring and knowledge for societal benefit: the urgency to expand Argo to OneArgo by 2030. Frontiers in Marine Science 12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1593904

Fredriksen, H.-B., Eiselt, K.-U., & Good, P. (2025) Exploring global temperature oscillations using a generalized linear box model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2024GL113994. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113994

Calafat, F. M., Vallivattathillam, P., and Frajka-Williams, E. (2025) Estimates of Atlantic meridional heat transport from spatiotemporal fusion of Argo, altimetry, and gravimetry data. Ocean Sci., 21, 2743–2762. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2743-2025